Profitable serial trader buys Nebraska No

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A highly profitable serial trader with an 80% win rate made a large contrarian No bet in an unusually quiet market.
Total
$2,941
Trades
1
Win Rate
79%
Wallet P&L
+$5,175,545
Analysis
- This bettor has won 80% of 203 resolved trades and earned $3.86M in reported profit.
- The $2,941 No position was more than 5,000% of the market’s 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in a thin market.
- The entry at 31¢ implies the trader sees No as meaningfully underpriced versus the 32% market probability.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 31¢
Detected September 2, 2026 at 3:39 PM