Proven bettor makes thin-market whale bet

This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Timofeeva and Elise Mertens in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Timofeeva' if Maria Timofeeva advances against Elise Mertens. This market will resolve to 'Elise Mertens' if Elise Mertens advances against Maria Timofeeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A highly profitable, extensively active bettor placed a concentrated $13.1K bet on Elise Mertens in a thin market, though the entry is close to prevailing fair value.
Total
$13,104
Trades
1
Win Rate
65%
Wallet P&L
+$48,649,171
Analysis
- This bettor is up $47.1M across more than 51,000 resolved trades, with a 66% win rate.
- The $13.1K Elise Mertens bet was nearly 40 times the recent 24-hour volume, showing meaningful conviction in a quiet market.
- The 75¢ entry offers limited apparent mispricing, so the trade is worth monitoring but copying only up to 85¢.
Copy Trade
Buy Elise Mertens at 75¢
Detected September 3, 2026 at 12:18 PM