Sharp bettor makes thin-market Medvedev bet

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Arthur Rinderknech in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Medvedev" if Daniil Medvedev wins by 2 or more sets than Arthur Rinderknech, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Rinderknech." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Daniil Medvedev can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Rinderknech." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
A proven 89% win-rate bettor with substantial positive edge committed nearly $10,000 to Medvedev in an extremely thin market.
Total
$21,067
Trades
2
Win Rate
89%
Wallet P&L
+$3,421,080
Analysis
- This bettor has won 89% of 899 resolved positions and is up $3.36 million.
- They committed nearly $10,000 to Medvedev at an average entry near 40%, despite the thin $196 book.
- The position aligns with activity across three markets in the same event from a serial cross-market trader.
Copy Trade
Buy Medvedev at 40¢
Detected September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM