What does Medvedev -1.5 mean in this prediction market?

Medvedev -1.5 means Daniil Medvedev must win by two or more sets based on the final completed match score for the Medvedev outcome to win.

What does Rinderknech +1.5 mean?

Rinderknech +1.5 covers every result that does not give Medvedev a two-set advantage, including a Rinderknech win or a closer Medvedev victory.

When is the Medvedev vs Rinderknech market scheduled?

The match is originally scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 11:00 AM ET, with the market set to resolve by September 11, 2026, at 3:00 PM UTC.

How does this market resolve if the tennis match is not completed?

If the match begins but is not completed because of retirement, default, or disqualification, the market is designed to resolve 50-50 unless the applicable resolution rules establish an outcome.

How much smart-money activity has this market received?

PolySpotter tracks $21,067 in smart-money activity for this market and reports one smart-money signal, including a sharp bettor's Medvedev position.

Part of: US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech

Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Rinderknech (+1.5)

This Polymarket tennis market covers the US Open ATP match between Daniil Medvedev and Arthur Rinderknech, scheduled for September 4, 2026. Medvedev wins the market if he finishes at least two sets ahead; otherwise, Rinderknech wins. The metadata does not include current odds, while $21,067 in smart-money activity and one signal are tracked.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $30,952.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor makes thin-market Medvedev bet

A proven 89% win-rate bettor with substantial positive edge committed nearly $10,000 to Medvedev in an extremely thin market.

This bettor has won 89% of 899 resolved positions and is up $3.36 million.
They committed nearly $10,000 to Medvedev at an average entry near 40%, despite the thin $196 book.
The position aligns with activity across three markets in the same event from a serial cross-market trader.

$21,067 on Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 89%

Sharp bettor makes thin-market Medvedev bet

A proven 89% win-rate bettor with substantial positive edge committed nearly $10,000 to Medvedev in an extremely thin market.

This bettor has won 89% of 899 resolved positions and is up $3.36 million.
They committed nearly $10,000 to Medvedev at an average entry near 40%, despite the thin $196 book.
The position aligns with activity across three markets in the same event from a serial cross-market trader.

$9,886 on Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 89%

Top Holders

0x9f15...bdb3 — Outcome 53013982, $3,655 (79% win rate)
0xbbf3...aa3a — Outcome 53013982, $1,133 (85% win rate)
0x7547...d158 — Outcome 53013982, $600
0x850b...5493 — Outcome 53013982, $500
0x79b5...df9b — Outcome 53013982, $95
0x7091...96f8 — Outcome 53013982, $95 (48% win rate)
0x5b62...d87f — Outcome 53013982, $82 (81% win rate)
0xa68d...eab5 — Outcome 53013982, $65
0x8d10...940a — Outcome 53013982, $50 (79% win rate)
0x7422...8a59 — Outcome 53013982, $48

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Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Rinderknech (+1.5)

ResolvedUS Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech$30,952 tracked2 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Arthur Rinderknech in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Medvedev" if Daniil Medvedev wins by 2 or more sets than Arthur Rinderknech, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Rinderknech." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Daniil Medvedev can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Rinderknech." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.