96% winner scales into Paul

This market will resolve to "Alcaraz" if Carlos Alcaraz wins 6.5 or more total games than Tommy Paul in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Paul". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the match ends at a point where Carlos Alcaraz could no longer have finished 6.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Paul". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A highly proven bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial edge is adding $2,500 to an existing Paul position despite the market moving against it.
Total
$2,500
Trades
1
Win Rate
95%
Wallet P&L
+$442,540
Analysis
- This bettor has won 410 of 429 resolved positions and is up $375,375 lifetime.
- They added $2,500 to Paul at 60¢ while the current price is 55%, signaling strong conviction despite adverse movement.
- The bet was over nine times the market's recent 24-hour volume, making it a notably concentrated position.
Copy Trade
Buy Paul at 60¢
Detected September 6, 2026 at 6:23 PM