Part of: US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Game Spread: Alcaraz (-6.5) vs Paul (+6.5)
This tennis prediction market covers the Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul game spread for their September 6, 2026 match. Alcaraz resolves as the winner if he finishes at least 7 games ahead across all sets; otherwise, the market resolves to Paul. The market currently shows three smart money alerts favoring Paul, including a 96% winner scaling into the Paul side.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,673.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
96% winner scales into Paul
A highly proven bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial edge is adding $2,500 to an existing Paul position despite the market moving against it.
- This bettor has won 410 of 429 resolved positions and is up $375,375 lifetime.
- They added $2,500 to Paul at 60¢ while the current price is 55%, signaling strong conviction despite adverse movement.
- The bet was over nine times the market's recent 24-hour volume, making it a notably concentrated position.
$2,500 on Paul | Wallet win rate: 95%
Sharp bettor scales into Paul
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 77% win rate is adding $2,746 to an already concentrated Paul position in an exceptionally thin market.
- This bettor has won 77% of 269 resolved trades and is up $416,960 lifetime.
- They added $2,746 to Paul at 57¢, increasing an existing $4,817 position rather than merely taking profit.
- The trade is more than 10 times the market’s 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in a thin sports market.
$1,428 on Paul | Wallet win rate: 75%
Sharp bettor scales into Paul
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 77% win rate is adding $2,746 to an already concentrated Paul position in an exceptionally thin market.
- This bettor has won 77% of 269 resolved trades and is up $416,960 lifetime.
- They added $2,746 to Paul at 57¢, increasing an existing $4,817 position rather than merely taking profit.
- The trade is more than 10 times the market’s 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in a thin sports market.
$2,746 on Paul | Wallet win rate: 75%
Top Holders
- 0xf3a6...71bd — Outcome 31074028, $7,279 (75% win rate)
- 0xf12f...b30f — Outcome 31074028, $4,181 (95% win rate)
- 0xe54d...fdec — Outcome 31074028, $1,718 (69% win rate)
- 0xc470...c792 — Outcome 31074028, $235 (33% win rate)
- 0xf34f...4d6e — Outcome 31074028, $181
- 0xc28e...bc55 — Outcome 31074028, $165
- 0xf6f7...c7a2 — Outcome 31074028, $123
- 0xb6fc...b24e — Outcome 31074028, $100
- 0x5929...4684 — Outcome 31074028, $95 (76% win rate)
- 0x0ac5...f963 — Outcome 31074028, $88
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