Profitable serial cross-market bettor buys No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 7 12:00 PM ET to September 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
A highly experienced bettor with an 82% win rate and $258,382 lifetime profit made a concentrated No bet in a thin market.
Total
$1,095
Trades
1
Win Rate
82%
Wallet P&L
+$258,382
Analysis
- This bettor wins 82% of 907 resolved trades and is up $258,382 lifetime.
- The $1,095 position accounts for 76% of the market’s 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in No.
- The trade entered No at 82¢, near the current 81% market price, with a 2¢ spread.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 82¢
Detected September 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM