82% win-rate serial trader
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 1 12:00 PM ET to September 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
A highly experienced bettor with 907 resolved trades, an 82% win rate, and $258,382 in profit is buying No at the prevailing 86% price.
Total
$1,323
Trades
1
Win Rate
82%
Wallet P&L
+$258,382
Analysis
- This bettor has won 82% of 907 resolved trades and is up $258,382 lifetime.
- The wallet has traded across 64 markets and 55 events, indicating broad and sustained experience rather than a one-off wager.
- The $1,068 No position matches the market's 86% consensus price while the market has seen $45,833 in 24-hour volume.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 86¢
Detected September 7, 2026 at 12:44 PM