Thin-market crypto bettor
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
A moderately proven bettor with a 75% win rate just put nearly $8.9k into a thin crypto launch market, including an early fill at 38¢ that quickly moved to 60¢.
Total
$8,836
Trades
3
Win Rate
75%
Wallet P&L
+$30,349
Analysis
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up about $29.7k lifetime.
- They bought nearly $8.9k of Yes in a market with only about $9.4k of 24-hour volume.
- One fill hit at 38¢ and the market is now 60¢, showing they got in well before the move.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 53¢
Detected April 8, 2026 at 11:33 AM