Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?

This Polymarket asks whether Variational’s governance token will have a fully diluted valuation above $200 million at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after its public launch. For the market to count, the token must be actively transferable and publicly tradable, and resolution is based on FDV calculated as total supply multiplied by token price. PolySpotter tracks the latest odds, smart money activity, and market signals for this Variational pre-market contract.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $8,836.

Categories: Crypto, Pre-Market, Variational, fdv

Notable Trades

Thin-market crypto bettor

A moderately proven bettor with a 75% win rate just put nearly $8.9k into a thin crypto launch market, including an early fill at 38¢ that quickly moved to 60¢.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up about $29.7k lifetime.
  • They bought nearly $8.9k of Yes in a market with only about $9.4k of 24-hour volume.
  • One fill hit at 38¢ and the market is now 60¢, showing they got in well before the move.

$8,836 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5c23...c465 — Yes, $9,305 (75% win rate)
  2. 0xf498...a422 — No, $2,804
  3. 0xa78e...8ad3 — No, $2,283
  4. 0xde9e...e136 — No, $2,000
  5. 0x6ed7...9778 — No, $1,217
  6. 0x6138...97a0 — No, $1,000
  7. 0xf575...b53a — No, $161
  8. 0x1a75...3103 — Yes, $137
  9. 0x64b1...a658 — Yes, $59
  10. 0xad53...ef24 — No, $20

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?

632d$8,836 tracked1 signalCryptoPre-MarketVariationalfdv
Yes
60¢
No
40¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Notable Trades

Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?

1h ago

$8,836 on Yes at 53¢

53¢→60¢↑7¢

Related Theses

Wallet_0x5c23d trades 2 related markets
Variational FDV above $200M on…Variational FDV above $300M on…
Variational FDV > $200M Prediction Market Odds | PolySpotter