Serial trader adds to Iowa YES

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A serial cross-market trader added a sizable Yes position in a quiet market, though its perfect record came from bets averaging 95¢ and is not strong evidence of a major edge.
Total
$2,753
Trades
1
Win Rate
100%
Wallet P&L
+$33,432
Analysis
- A trader active across 30 events added another $2,753 to an existing Yes position.
- The wallet has won 42 of 42 resolved bets, but its average winning entry was 95¢, so the record offers limited evidence of mispricing here.
- The trade was over 125 times the market’s reported 24-hour volume, and Yes has risen 11% over the past week.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 86¢
Detected September 27, 2026 at 11:51 PM