77% winner fading favorite

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for April 8 at 12:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
A proven profitable sports-style trader with a 77% win rate bought Pirates at 45¢ alongside two other wallets in the same direction, and the market has since moved sharply against that entry to 10¢, making it a notable but aggressive contrarian signal to study.
Total
$1,809
Trades
1
Win Rate
79%
Wallet P&L
+$3,736,317
Analysis
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $3.53M lifetime.
- Three wallets piled into Pittsburgh together for nearly $11.9k total, showing shared conviction.
- They bought the Pirates at 45¢ while the market now prices them at 10¢, making this a high-risk contrarian entry.
Copy Trade
Buy Pittsburgh Pirates at 45¢
Detected April 8, 2026 at 6:21 PM