Profitable serial trader adds to Yes

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A highly active, profitable trader added $6.6k to an existing Yes position in a quiet market, though a simultaneous No bet in a related market makes the overall thesis less clear.
Total
$14,598
Trades
2
Win Rate
66%
Wallet P&L
+$298,459
Analysis
- A bettor with 1,050 resolved trades is up $317k lifetime and has a 66% win rate.
- They added $6.6k to an existing Yes position at 87¢ in a market with only $1,458 in 24-hour volume.
- A simultaneous $8k No bet in a related market may hedge or complicate the directional signal.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 87¢
Detected September 29, 2026 at 4:55 PM