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Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is made available to the general public by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," Claude 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. Claude 5 refers to a product explicitly named Claude 5 (e.g. Claude 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4, similar to the progression from Claude 2 to Claude 3. Products labeled as Claude 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

A large, profitable serial cross-market trader with 600 resolved bets is re-entering this AI release market and has built a broad thesis across 6 related markets in the same event.

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$4,633

Trades

1

Win Rate

67%

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+$258,487

Analysis

Copy Trade

Buy Yes at 66¢

AITechClaude 5
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Detected April 8, 2026 at 9:14 PM

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