90% winner adding to No

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A historically profitable bettor is adding a large No position in a quiet market, though a simultaneous Yes trade in a related market tempers the directional signal.
Total
$77,896
Trades
2
Win Rate
88%
Wallet P&L
+$174,561
Analysis
- This bettor has won 38 of 42 resolved bets and is up $228,691 lifetime.
- They added about $22,455 to No at 71¢, alongside an existing $74,750 No position.
- The alert also includes a large Yes trade in a related market, so the overall event positioning is not purely one-sided.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 71¢
Detected September 30, 2026 at 4:45 AM