Profitable serial trader adds to No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A highly profitable, experienced cross-market trader added to a substantial existing No position, though the entry is near the market price and the win rate reflects mostly high-priced favorites.
Total
$9,032
Trades
1
Win Rate
86%
Wallet P&L
+$545,111
Analysis
- This trader is up $511K across 369 resolved bets and has placed bets across 49 events.
- They added $9K to an existing $247K No position, showing continued conviction.
- The No entry at 90¢ is close to the current 92¢ odds, so the apparent edge is modest.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 90¢
Detected September 30, 2026 at 11:35 AM