Profitable sharp scaling into No

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A highly profitable 90%-win-rate trader added $26,756 to an existing large No position at 87¢ in a thin market.
Total
$57,474
Trades
2
Win Rate
88%
Wallet P&L
+$174,561
Analysis
- This bettor has won 38 of 42 resolved trades and is up $228,691 overall.
- They added $26,756 to No at 87¢, alongside an existing $169,824 No position.
- The market has only $358 in 24-hour volume, so this is a substantial bet relative to recent activity.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 87¢
Detected October 1, 2026 at 10:51 PM