Profitable serial trader buying No

In a civil complaint filed in September 2026, a Cornell University student alleged that she was drugged and sexually assaulted in October 2024 by multiple members of the Chi Phi fraternity at the fraternity's house in Ithaca, New York. Matthew Ingalls, Johnathan Newell, Winston Lee, Gillio Lopes, Diego Sarabia, Scott Norris and Scott Kretzschmar are the 7 individual defendants alleged in the September 2026 civil complaint to have participated in the alleged October 2024 sexual assault. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Matthew Ingalls, Johnathan Newell, Winston Lee, Gillio Lopes, Diego Sarabia, Scott Norris or Scott Kretzschmar with a felony sex crime between market creation and January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A felony sex crime refers to any offense classified as a felony and as a sex offense under the law of the charging jurisdiction, including any felony sex offense defined in Article 130 of the New York Penal Law. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A proven high-volume trader with a 72% win rate and over $1 million in profit made a sizable No position as market volume spiked 88-fold.
Total
$27,926
Trades
2
Win Rate
71%
Wallet P&L
+$1,021,392
Analysis
- This bettor has won 72% of 124 resolved bets and is up over $1 million.
- They put $27,925 into No at 60–61¢, while market volume was 88 times its historical average.
- The trader has placed $3.1 million across 77 events, suggesting an established cross-market strategy.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 60¢
Detected October 2, 2026 at 4:22 AM