Profitable bettor-led No cluster

In a civil complaint filed in September 2026, a Cornell University student alleged that she was drugged and sexually assaulted in October 2024 by multiple members of the Chi Phi fraternity at the fraternity's house in Ithaca, New York. Matthew Ingalls, Johnathan Newell, Winston Lee, Gillio Lopes, Diego Sarabia, Scott Norris and Scott Kretzschmar are the 7 individual defendants alleged in the September 2026 civil complaint to have participated in the alleged October 2024 sexual assault. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Matthew Ingalls, Johnathan Newell, Winston Lee, Gillio Lopes, Diego Sarabia, Scott Norris or Scott Kretzschmar with a felony sex crime between market creation and January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A felony sex crime refers to any offense classified as a felony and as a sex offense under the law of the charging jurisdiction, including any felony sex offense defined in Article 130 of the New York Penal Law. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A roughly $31k coordinated No position includes a highly profitable bettor with a strong track record, alongside an 80.8x volume spike.
Total
$30,897
Trades
4
Analysis
- Three wallets put about $30,900 on No, including one bettor up over $1 million lifetime.
- The largest bettor has won 72% of 124 resolved bets and is up $1.02 million.
- Trading coincided with an 80.8x volume spike; No was bought at 60–63¢ and is now 64¢.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 60¢
Detected October 2, 2026 at 4:36 AM