Profitable whale adds to Yes position

In a civil complaint filed in September 2026, a Cornell University student alleged that she was drugged and sexually assaulted in October 2024 by multiple members of the Chi Phi fraternity at the fraternity's house in Ithaca, New York. Matthew Ingalls, Johnathan Newell, Winston Lee, Gillio Lopes, Diego Sarabia, Scott Norris and Scott Kretzschmar are the 7 individual defendants alleged in the September 2026 civil complaint to have participated in the alleged October 2024 sexual assault. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Matthew Ingalls, Johnathan Newell, Winston Lee, Gillio Lopes, Diego Sarabia, Scott Norris or Scott Kretzschmar with a felony sex crime between market creation and January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A felony sex crime refers to any offense classified as a felony and as a sex offense under the law of the charging jurisdiction, including any felony sex offense defined in Article 130 of the New York Penal Law. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A historically profitable high-volume trader added $13,902 to an existing Yes position, with a second commonly funded wallet also participating, though the wallet’s 62% win rate does not clearly beat its typical odds.
Total
$23,684
Trades
1
Win Rate
62%
Wallet P&L
+$912,111
Analysis
- Added another $13,902 at 36¢ to an existing $38,896 Yes position, signaling increased conviction.
- The wallet is up $740,627 across 1,702 resolved bets and has traded across 161 events.
- Two commonly funded wallets put a combined $13,902 into this direction.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 36¢
Detected October 2, 2026 at 11:40 PM