Profitable serial trader bets No

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A profitable, high-win-rate serial cross-market trader placed a $7,215 contrarian position in a quiet market, equivalent to buying No at 51¢.
Total
$7,215
Trades
1
Win Rate
86%
Wallet P&L
+$116,641
Analysis
- This bettor has won 86% of 171 resolved bets and is up about $100,600.
- A $7,215 sell of Yes is a sizable position—nearly five times the market’s 24-hour volume—and converts to No at 51¢.
- The market has fallen 5% over the past week, in line with this No position.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 51¢
Detected October 7, 2026 at 12:16 PM