Profitable serial trader backs No

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A highly profitable, 231-market trader with an 81% win rate placed a $10.7K bet on No, reinforcing a strong bearish view on the Democrats' chances.
Total
$10,721
Trades
1
Win Rate
79%
Wallet P&L
+$5,175,545
Analysis
- This bettor has won 187 of 231 resolved bets and is up $4.6M lifetime.
- They put $10,721 on No at 84¢, a sizeable position for a trader active across 191 events.
- The market has $153K in liquidity, so this is a meaningful conviction bet rather than a move in an unusually thin book.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 84¢
Detected October 7, 2026 at 10:14 PM