Serial trader adds to large Yes position

This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data. Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc. If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies. This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
A serial cross-market trader with 215 resolved bets added to a substantial existing Yes position with a $2,536 buy on a very quiet market.
Total
$2,536
Trades
1
Win Rate
72%
Wallet P&L
+$50,764
Analysis
- This trader has made bets across 30 events and has a 72% win rate over 215 resolved bets.
- The $2,536 buy was more than 10 times the market’s 24-hour volume, adding to an existing $87,711 Yes position.
- The entry was 66¢; the market is now around 60¢, with a wide 9¢ bid-ask spread.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 66¢
Detected October 12, 2026 at 2:48 AM