Whale scaling into Fed YES

The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time. The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
A large, linked-wallet buying surge adds $12.5k to a trader’s existing $48.8k YES position in a thin market, despite a sharp recent price decline.
Total
$12,520
Trades
3
Win Rate
86%
Wallet P&L
+$105,668
Analysis
- The bettor added $12,520 to an existing $48,793 YES position, showing substantial conviction.
- Two wallets share a funder, and the trades were many times the market’s $157 in 24-hour volume.
- YES has fallen about 45% over the past week, so this is a large buy against recent momentum.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 37¢
Detected October 13, 2026 at 4:37 AM