75% win-rate event specialist
If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A high-volume cross-market trader with a 75% win rate across 1,005 resolved bets is adding a consistent thesis in this event by buying No at 85¢.
Total
$1,700
Trades
1
Win Rate
75%
Wallet P&L
+$161,660
Analysis
- This bettor wins 75% of their trades across 1,005 resolved bets and is up $144.7k lifetime.
- They have already bet 3 markets in this same event for $22.6k, which points to a researched event-wide thesis rather than a one-off punt.
- They bought No at 85¢ in a liquid market with a tight 1¢ spread, so this looks like deliberate conviction rather than a thin-market splash.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 85¢
Detected April 10, 2026 at 8:13 AM