Profitable serial trader takes thin-market Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A highly active, historically profitable trader bought Yes in a thin market, with the position representing about 76% of its 24-hour volume as odds have risen.
Total
$1,192
Trades
1
Win Rate
71%
Wallet P&L
+$1,525,588
Analysis
- The trader has won 71% of more than 130,000 resolved bets and is up $1.33M lifetime.
- Their $1,192 Yes buy was about 76% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
- Yes has risen 23% over the past week; the trader entered at 35¢.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 35¢
Detected October 18, 2026 at 10:12 AM