Large bettor adding to Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
A trader with a large existing Yes position added $2,636 in a market with only $30 of 24-hour volume, signaling notable conviction despite a modest historical win rate.
Total
$2,636
Trades
1
Win Rate
57%
Wallet P&L
+$93,019
Analysis
- The bettor added $2,636 to an existing Yes position worth about $3,283 in a market with just $30 of 24-hour volume.
- They entered at 80¢, and Yes is now priced around 90¢; the wallet is up $86,010 overall, though its 57% win rate is not exceptional.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 80¢
Detected October 23, 2026 at 7:17 AM