Four-wallet, $125K No surge

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a legally binding decree declaring a state of emergency (état d'urgence) in France enters into effect at any point between this market's creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To count toward resolution, the corresponding decree must explicitly constitute a "state of emergency" (état d'urgence) as defined by Law No. 55-385 of April 3, 1955 (Loi n° 55-385 du 3 avril 1955 relative à l'état d'urgence). Only declarations explicitly constituting a state of emergency under Law No. 55-385 will count. A declaration covering any part of the territory of the French Republic, including overseas departments, regions, and collectivities, will qualify. A declaration of a public health state of emergency (état d'urgence sanitaire) under the Public Health Code, a state of siege (état de siège) under Article 36 of the French Constitution, the use of exceptional powers under Article 16 of the French Constitution, the "Urgence attentat" level of the Vigipirate plan, a natural disaster declaration (état de catastrophe naturelle), or prefectoral orders issued outside of Law No. 55-385 will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Journal Officiel de la République française (legifrance.gouv.fr); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Four wallets placed $125,606 on No in a sharp, unusually large burst that dwarfs recent market volume, despite mixed or weak wallet track records.
Total
$125,606
Trades
4
Analysis
- Four wallets bought No for a combined $125,606—about 95 times the market’s $1,318 in 24-hour volume.
- The burst coincided with a 9.5-point daily drop in Yes odds, reinforcing the No direction.
- Several wallets have mixed or losing records, so the coordinated size stands out more than their track records.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 85¢
Detected October 23, 2026 at 11:56 AM