Smart Money SignalScore: 5.0

Serial cross-market bettor adds to No

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

A historically profitable, highly active cross-market trader added $3,643 to an existing No position during a low-volume window, though their win rate does not clearly exceed their typical winning odds.

Total

$3,643

Trades

1

Win Rate

74%

Wallet P&L

+$55,137

Analysis

Copy Trade

Buy No at 64¢

PoliticsElectionsNov 4 ElectionsMidtermsHouse ElectionsFlorida MidtermUS ElectionKey House RacesTossup House RacesTossupsFlorida House
View all alerts for Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat? →

Detected October 28, 2026 at 10:25 PM

Serial cross-market bettor adds to No | PolySpotter