Proven sharp buying No

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A highly profitable bettor with thousands of resolved positions and a strong reported edge has opened a $3,000 position on No.
Total
$2,999
Trades
1
Win Rate
88%
Wallet P&L
+$6,593,305
Analysis
- This bettor has won 88% of 3,539 resolved positions and is up $6.5 million.
- They put nearly $3,000 on No at 49¢, despite the market’s recent upward momentum for Yes.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 49¢
Detected October 31, 2026 at 2:38 AM