Profitable serial cross-market trader

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A historically profitable serial cross-market trader placed a sizeable Yes bet in a market with very low recent volume, though the wallet’s win rate is close to its average winning entry price.
Total
$1,396
Trades
1
Win Rate
73%
Wallet P&L
+$104,129
Analysis
- This bettor is up $104,926 across 498 resolved bets, with a 72% win rate.
- The $1,396 Yes buy was about 15 times the market’s recent 24-hour volume.
- The trader has positioned across 58 events, though their 72% win rate is close to their 72¢ average winning price.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 67¢
Detected October 31, 2026 at 4:26 AM