Serial trader adds to sizable Yes position

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A prolific, profitable trader added $3,724 to an existing Yes position amid a 32x volume spike, though their record does not clearly establish an odds-adjusted edge.
Total
$3,724
Trades
1
Win Rate
74%
Wallet P&L
+$55,137
Analysis
- A trader with 1,827 resolved bets and $52,927 in profit added another $3,724 to an existing Yes position.
- Trading activity was 32 times its historical average, alongside an 8-point rise in Yes odds over the past day.
- The wallet’s 74% win rate is not clear evidence of an edge at these odds; its average winning price is 83%.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 78¢
Detected October 31, 2026 at 9:44 AM