Profitable serial timer flips sides
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 11 at 3:00PM ET: If the Capitals win, the market will resolve to "Capitals". If the Penguins win, the market will resolve to "Penguins". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
A profitable serial timer with a strong near-resolution edge flipped into a large fresh Penguins position at 43¢ as volume and price action surged.
Total
$76,524
Trades
2
Win Rate
77%
Wallet P&L
+$2,214,859
Analysis
- This bettor wins 74% of resolved markets and is up $539k, with a documented pattern of last-minute bets that beat the market.
- They bought $76.5k of Penguins at 43¢ right at game time after previously closing a small Capitals position, showing a fresh high-conviction view.
- Market volume spiked 64x and the price had already moved 12 points in a day, suggesting informed action around the opener.
Copy Trade
Buy Penguins at 43¢
Detected April 11, 2026 at 7:20 PM