Profitable new wallet on thin market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Chris Padilla and MarQuel Mederos at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
A very new wallet with repeat large bets and early profits bought into a thin UFC market at 58¢, and the market has since moved sharply in its favor to 40¢.
Total
$1,145
Trades
1
Win Rate
33%
Wallet P&L
-$77,260
Analysis
- This 6-day-old wallet has already been flagged 15 times, with $38.9k in notable bets and $40.6k in profit
- They bought No at 58¢ in a market with just $3.2k of 24h volume and a very wide 37-point spread
- The price has moved from 58¢ to 40¢ since their buy, showing immediate market follow-through
Copy Trade
Buy No at 58¢
Detected April 11, 2026 at 10:47 PM