88% win-rate cross-market sharp

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between REKONIX and Team Nemesis in the DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 12 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "REKONIX" if REKONIX win the match against Team Nemesis. This market will resolve to "Team Nemesis" if Team Nemesis win the match against REKONIX. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
A proven high-volume bettor with an 88% win rate is taking the underdog side here by selling Team Nemesis at 70¢, which converts to a buy on REKONIX around 30¢.
Total
$1,996
Trades
1
Win Rate
86%
Wallet P&L
+$207,960
Analysis
- This bettor wins 88% of their resolved trades across 1,163 bets and is up about $171k lifetime.
- The trade fades the favorite at 70¢, which is equivalent to buying REKONIX around 30¢.
- Nearly $2k went in at a price that implies REKONIX has only about a 30% chance.
Copy Trade
Buy REKONIX at 30¢
Detected April 12, 2026 at 9:43 AM