Proven trader fades favorite

This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Otto Virtanen in the Barcelona Open, scheduled for April 14 2026. This market will resolve to "Alcaraz" if Carlos Alcaraz wins by 2 or more sets than Otto Virtanen, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Virtanen." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
A proven cross-market sports bettor with a 71% win rate sold Alcaraz at 65%, which translates to a buyable Virtanen position at 35% in a moderately thin market.
Total
$2,838
Trades
1
Win Rate
68%
Wallet P&L
-$13,016
Analysis
- This bettor wins 71% of their trades across 110 resolved markets and is up nearly $15k
- They sold Alcaraz at 65¢, which is equivalent to buying Virtanen around 35¢
- The bet was large for this order book, with about $2.8k traded into a market with only $4.3k of liquidity
Copy Trade
Buy Virtanen at 35¢
Detected April 14, 2026 at 2:40 PM