Sharp bettor buys favorite
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
A profitable sharp wallet with a strong 75% hit rate made a market-moving buy on the favored side in a thin Eurovision market, suggesting the current 14% Yes price may still be too high.
Total
$1,147
Trades
1
Win Rate
76%
Wallet P&L
+$39,237
Analysis
- This bettor wins 75% of their trades and is up $36.8k across 65 resolved markets
- Their $1.1k bet was 71% of this market's 24-hour volume in a thin book with only $4.2k liquidity
- Buying No at 87¢ means backing Cyprus to miss the top 5, with only 14¢ pricing on the Yes side
Copy Trade
Buy No at 87¢
Detected April 19, 2026 at 10:19 AM