Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
This Polymarket asks whether Cyprus will finish in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026, based on the official final standings. The market can also resolve early to No if Cyprus is eliminated and can no longer mathematically place in the top 5. It is scheduled to resolve around May 16, 2026, with official Eurovision results as the primary source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,147.
Categories: Culture, Music, Awards, Eurovision
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor buys favorite
A profitable sharp wallet with a strong 75% hit rate made a market-moving buy on the favored side in a thin Eurovision market, suggesting the current 14% Yes price may still be too high.
- This bettor wins 75% of their trades and is up $36.8k across 65 resolved markets
- Their $1.1k bet was 71% of this market's 24-hour volume in a thin book with only $4.2k liquidity
- Buying No at 87¢ means backing Cyprus to miss the top 5, with only 14¢ pricing on the Yes side
$1,147 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%
Top Holders
- 0xc825...6696 — Yes, $2,000
- 0x6db9...4ab5 — No, $1,318 (75% win rate)
- 0x588d...099a — No, $332
- 0x4133...e834 — No, $319
- 0x2c61...ac8b — Yes, $300
- 0x41f0...3eeb — No, $257
- 0x7b17...51b1 — No, $161
- 0x8bf3...6077 — No, $152
- 0x3483...d901 — Yes, $100
- 0x9474...5091 — Yes, $83
