Part of: Eurovision 2026: Top 5

Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,147.

Categories: Culture, Music, Awards, Eurovision

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor buys favorite

A profitable sharp wallet with a strong 75% hit rate made a market-moving buy on the favored side in a thin Eurovision market, suggesting the current 14% Yes price may still be too high.

This bettor wins 75% of their trades and is up $36.8k across 65 resolved markets
Their $1.1k bet was 71% of this market's 24-hour volume in a thin book with only $4.2k liquidity
Buying No at 87¢ means backing Cyprus to miss the top 5, with only 14¢ pricing on the Yes side

$1,147 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

0x13e0...38df — Outcome 11248783, $3,618
0x1ee5...8818 — Outcome 11248783, $2,209
0xe7ab...bc60 — Outcome 11248783, $1,690
0x21de...77de — Outcome 11248783, $1,666
0x23ed...aebc — Outcome 11248783, $929
0xd9bd...9c9e — Outcome 11248783, $888
0x8bd7...047a — Outcome 11248783, $883
0x8c07...d4f8 — Outcome 11248783, $846
0x2f5e...3d5f — Outcome 11248783, $845
0x8230...a577 — Outcome 11248783, $735

Related Theses

Eurovision winner among five countries

Covers 5 related markets

Malta surprises, rivals miss top ten

Covers 5 related markets

Australia and Cyprus miss top five

Covers 2 related markets

Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

ResolvedEurovision 2026: Top 5$1,147 tracked1 signalCultureMusicAwardsEurovision

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Price History — “No”

102¢

96¢

91¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction