Sharp cluster buying underdog
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 3 match between MOUZ and Tundra Esports in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 20 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Game 1 against Tundra Esports. This market will resolve to "Tundra Esports" if Tundra Esports win Game 1 against MOUZ. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Three wallets piled into Tundra via direct buys and equivalent sells on MOUZ, including one trader with a 96% win rate, creating a notable coordinated longshot bet against a market pricing Tundra at just 10%.
Total
$5,221
Trades
4
Analysis
- Three wallets lined up on Tundra for $5.2k total, including sells of MOUZ that amount to the same bet.
- One wallet wins 96% of resolved bets and is up $873k, giving this underdog position more weight.
- The group entered around 50¢ to 12¢ equivalent while the market now prices Tundra at 10%, showing a high-conviction longshot view.
Copy Trade
Buy Tundra Esports at 37¢
Detected April 20, 2026 at 5:43 PM