2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
5 signals across 1 market · $13,454 tracked · resolves Jun 30, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket trading on how June 2026 will rank in NASA’s Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for all Junes on record. The active outcome focuses on whether June 2026 becomes the hottest June ever, with PolySpotter currently tracking $1,500 in smart-money activity and one signal from a profitable bettor in a thin market.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 13-wallet cluster buying No
A 13-wallet shared-funder cluster is backing No in a thin climate market with a bet over 5x recent 24h volume.
$2,609Wallet win rate: 40%Score: 10.5 - 13-wallet funded No cluster
A 13-wallet shared-funder cluster is taking a $5.2k No position in a thin climate market, with the trade size exceeding available liquidity and aligned with recent No momentum.
$5,158Wallet win rate: 40%Score: 9.0 - 13-wallet funded cluster
A wallet tied to a 13-wallet funded cluster bought No on a thin, wide-spread climate market with recent price momentum in the same direction.
$2,490Wallet win rate: 40%Score: 8.0 - Profitable wallet backing NO
A profitable wallet made a large No bet that was nearly 5x the market's daily volume on a quiet climate market with recent momentum toward No.
$1,697Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 3.7 - Profitable bettor in thin market
A highly experienced profitable wallet bought No with a bet over 4x the market's 24h volume on a very thin long-dated climate market.
$1,500Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 2.6
Top wallets in this event
- 0xe3a187…64a3$10,257 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 40% wins
- 0x118689…051b$1,697 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
- 0xa49b6e…7054$1,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins
FAQs
What are the odds June 2026 is the hottest June on record?
The live Polymarket odds reflect trader expectations that June 2026 will rank first among all Junes in NASA’s Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index. PolySpotter tracks those odds alongside smart-money activity as positions change.
What is the smart money doing in this June 2026 temperature market?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,500 in smart-money activity across this event, including one recent signal described as a profitable bettor entering a thin market. Thin markets can move quickly, so individual trades may have an outsized effect on price.
How does this Polymarket event resolve?
Resolution is based on NASA GISS data, specifically the “GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius” table under the June column. If June 2026 ties for a qualifying rank, it counts for that rank.
When does the June 2026 hottest-on-record market resolve?
The event is listed to resolve by June 30, 2026, with final settlement tied to the relevant NASA temperature data for June 2026 once available.