Event

PGA Tour: U.S. Open Winner

26 signals across 5 markets · $86,056 tracked · resolves Jun 21, 2026

This event tracks Polymarket odds for the 2026 U.S. Open winner, with current trading focused on whether Scottie Scheffler will win the tournament. PolySpotter has identified $2,870 in smart money activity, including a signal that 85% winner-backed money is leaning into a long-shot angle.

Markets (5)

  1. Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?18 signals · $58,158 tracked
  2. Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 U.S. Open?3 signals · $18,214 tracked
  3. Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 U.S. Open?2 signals · $4,070 tracked
  4. Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 U.S. Open?1 signal · $2,996 tracked
  5. Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 U.S. Open?2 signals · $2,618 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Sharp cluster buying Yes

    High-score coordinated Yes buying with a profitable 78% lifetime bettor and serial cross-market traders driving a sharp price move near resolution.

    $6,769Score: 18.3
  2. Profitable cross-market cluster

    Surface: four wallets are aligned on Yes, including profitable high-volume cross-market bettors with a strong historical record across this event type.

    $7,061Score: 14.1
  3. Proven golf market specialist

    A highly proven serial cross-market bettor with 78% wins and +$292k lifetime P&L bought No on Fitzpatrick while also positioning across multiple U.S. Open markets.

    $2,996Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 11.6
  4. Proven sharp fading spike

    A highly proven cross-market bettor with a 79% win rate and $320k profit is buying No after a sharp price spike in this golf market.

    $8,446Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 9.0
  5. Proven sharp fading spike

    A highly proven cross-market bettor with a 79% win rate and $320k profit is buying No after a sharp price spike in this golf market.

    $2,745Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 9.0
  6. Profitable cluster buying No

    Three experienced, profitable wallets bought $15k of No on a thin golf futures market amid a major volume spike.

    $15,053Score: 8.8
  7. Proven sharp fading spike

    A highly proven cross-market bettor with a 79% win rate and $320k profit is buying No after a sharp price spike in this golf market.

    $2,303Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 8.2
  8. Proven sharp fading spike

    A highly proven cross-market bettor with a 79% win rate and $320k profit is buying No after a sharp price spike in this golf market.

    $1,952Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 8.0
  9. Proven sharp fading spike

    A highly proven cross-market bettor with a 79% win rate and $320k profit is buying No after a sharp price spike in this golf market.

    $1,086Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 8.0
  10. Proven sharp fading spike

    A highly proven cross-market bettor with a 79% win rate and $320k profit is buying No after a sharp price spike in this golf market.

    $1,352Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 8.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x033f03618e$30,361 · 4 markets · 12 alerts · 76% wins
  2. 0x37ae151002$5,382 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 76% wins
  3. 0xa38a45821d$4,437 · 1 market · 1 alert · 55% wins
  4. 0xa273e0095b$4,403 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 78% wins
  5. 0xd4225e7e43$4,300 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
  6. 0x5a7bc8fdd1$2,993 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
  7. 0x0a6f6a72f2$2,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
  8. 0x58a0042b5b$1,531 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
  9. 0x1173ab037e$1,267 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Polymarket odds for the 2026 U.S. Open winner?

This event hub shows the live prediction market for the 2026 U.S. Open winner, currently centered on whether Scottie Scheffler will win. Odds can move as tournament form, field strength, injuries, and betting activity change.

Who is smart money betting on for the 2026 U.S. Open?

PolySpotter is tracking $2,870 in smart money across this event. The latest signal notes that 85% winner-backed money is supporting a long-shot angle, suggesting sharp traders may be looking beyond the obvious favorite narrative.

Is Scottie Scheffler the only player market in this event?

At the moment, the listed child market is whether Scottie Scheffler will win the 2026 U.S. Open. If an unlisted player wins, the event rules state that the broader outcome resolves to “Other” where applicable.

When does the 2026 U.S. Open winner market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve by June 21, 2026, based on the official U.S. Open winner under PGA Tour tournament rules. If a listed player is eliminated from contention, that player’s market can resolve to “No” earlier.