Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 U.S. Open?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $18,214.

Notable Trades

Proven serial cross-market winner

Surfaced because this is a highly proven cross-market bettor with a 79% win rate and $320k lifetime profit adding a No position despite a modest standalone trade size.

This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $320,655 lifetime.
They have traded across 73 events and 91 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market process.
Buying No at 88¢ is a lower-upside, high-probability position against Rahm winning this major.

$1,524 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%

Proven serial cross-market winner

Surfaced because this is a highly proven cross-market bettor with a 79% win rate and $320k lifetime profit adding a No position despite a modest standalone trade size.

This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $320,655 lifetime.
They have traded across 73 events and 91 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market process.
Buying No at 88¢ is a lower-upside, high-probability position against Rahm winning this major.

$1,637 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%

Profitable cluster buying No

Three experienced, profitable wallets bought $15k of No on a thin golf futures market amid a major volume spike.

Three wallets are all betting the same way, buying $15k of No at 87¢.
The lead wallets have thousands of resolved trades and are collectively profitable, including one up $104k lifetime.
Market volume spiked 47x, suggesting this was not routine activity in a normally quiet golf futures market.

$15,053 on No

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 92741078, $78,485
0x37ae...1002 — Outcome 75847932, $30,000 (91% win rate)
0xf006...bb6c — Outcome 75847932, $13,511
0x5c57...5b16 — Outcome 75847932, $8,420
0x6d5e...0d8f — Outcome 75847932, $6,644 (33% win rate)
0xf90c...3aff — Outcome 75847932, $6,000
0x0b91...ae77 — Outcome 75847932, $5,100 (33% win rate)
0x5e02...b178 — Outcome 75847932, $4,302
0x9769...7cd7 — Outcome 75847932, $4,175 (44% win rate)
0xc26c...d532 — Outcome 75847932, $4,167

Related Theses

Brazil dominates, Haiti stays quiet

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Brazil leads at halftime

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Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 U.S. Open?

ResolvedPGA Tour: U.S. Open Winner$18,214 tracked3 signalsSportsGolfPGAPGA TOUR

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 U.S. Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the U.S. Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the U.S. Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by June 27, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).