Event

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

1 signal across 1 market · $2,474 tracked · resolves Jan 1, 2027

This Polymarket event tracks which AI company, Anthropic or OpenAI, will have the higher private market valuation on December 31, 2026, based on Nasdaq Private Market pricing. Traders are effectively betting on the relative value of Claude’s maker versus ChatGPT’s maker, with PolySpotter highlighting smart-money activity across the event.

Markets (1)

  1. Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?1 signal · $2,474 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Proven winner backing Anthropic

    Sharp profitable wallet with a 77% track record is buying Anthropic in a relatively quiet market, with the trade large versus recent volume.

    $2,474Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 3.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xbec7f85977$2,474 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins

FAQs

What is the Anthropic vs OpenAI valuation prediction market about?

This market asks which company will have the larger private market valuation on December 31, 2026: Anthropic or OpenAI. Resolution is based on the final Nasdaq Private Market price reported for that date.

What do the odds show for Anthropic vs OpenAI?

The live Polymarket odds reflect how traders currently price the chances that Anthropic or OpenAI ends 2026 with the higher private valuation. The odds can move as funding rounds, secondary-market pricing, AI revenue growth, and investor sentiment change.

Is smart money betting on Anthropic or OpenAI?

PolySpotter has tracked $2,474 in smart-money activity for this event, including a recent signal from a proven winner backing Anthropic. That does not guarantee the outcome, but it is useful context for interpreting market positioning.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve using Nasdaq Private Market data for December 31, 2026. If the relevant data is not available by January 1, 2027, the market may remain open until the specified backup resolution window.