Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic
9 signals across 2 markets · $47,952 tracked · resolves Aug 20, 2026
The Cincinnati Open prediction market covers Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic, with outcomes traded on the match winner and a Cilic -1.5 versus Aguilar +1.5 set handicap. PolySpotter is tracking $20,000 in smart money, including a recent whale scaling into Aguilar.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Elite bettor backs Merida Aguilar
A highly proven bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $6,000 tennis bet on Daniel Merida Aguilar at 58%.
$6,000Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 6.0 - New whale scaling into Aguilar
A three-day-old repeat bettor is adding $20,000 to an existing Aguilar position in an exceptionally thin market, with a small but profitable early track record.
$20,000Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 5.4 - Serial sharp backing Daniel Merida Aguilar
A highly experienced bettor with 1,077 resolved positions and a substantial edge is buying Daniel Merida Aguilar at 59 cents.
$1,200Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 5.2 - Sharp bettor scaling into Aguilar
A highly profitable serial sports bettor with an 81% win rate is adding to an existing position on Daniel Merida Aguilar despite the market moving lower.
$2,952Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 4.9 - Serial sharp backing Daniel Merida Aguilar
A highly experienced bettor with 1,077 resolved positions and a substantial edge is buying Daniel Merida Aguilar at 59 cents.
$1,787Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 4.7 - Bettor scales into Cilic amid volume spike
A trader added to an existing Marin Cilic position during an extreme 186.8x market-volume spike, though the wallet's 56% win rate provides only modest supporting evidence.
$3,846Wallet win rate: 54%Score: 3.1 - 91% win-rate bettor adds to Aguilar
A highly profitable bettor with a 91% win rate is adding nearly $2,000 to an existing Aguilar position at 78% in a relatively quiet market.
$1,574Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 2.8 - 91% win-rate bettor adds to Aguilar
A highly profitable bettor with a 91% win rate is adding nearly $2,000 to an existing Aguilar position at 78% in a relatively quiet market.
$1,994Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 2.8 - Profitable serial bettor adds to Daniel
A highly active, profitable serial trader added $8,600 to an existing Daniel Merida Aguilar position during an extreme pre-event volume spike.
$8,600Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 2.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x2f44fa…93c2$20,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0xaa7789…15a5$8,600 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
- 0x5f659b…2036$6,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
- 0x8c7d4b…83ed$3,846 · 1 market · 1 alert · 54% wins
- 0x88535a…c058$3,568 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 77% wins
- 0x0a2605…1851$2,987 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 79% wins
- 0x3f985e…0aa1$2,952 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
FAQs
What are the Cincinnati Open Aguilar vs Cilic prediction-market odds?
The event page tracks live Polymarket pricing for the match outcome and the Cilic -1.5 versus Aguilar +1.5 set-handicap market. Odds can change as traders buy and sell positions.
What is smart money doing in the Aguilar vs Cilic market?
PolySpotter has tracked $20,000 in smart money across the event and reports one recent signal: a new whale scaling into Daniel Merida Aguilar.
Which outcomes are traded for Aguilar vs Cilic?
The event includes match-winner outcomes for Daniel Merida Aguilar and Marin Cilic, plus a set-handicap market covering Cilic -1.5 and Aguilar +1.5.
When does the Aguilar vs Cilic prediction market resolve?
The match is scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, and the market is set to resolve by August 20, 2026 at 2:00 PM UTC. If the match is not played or has no winner within the specified delay period, exchange rules apply.