Part of: Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic

Set Handicap: Cilic (-1.5) vs Aguilar (+1.5)

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,568.

Notable Trades

91% win-rate bettor adds to Aguilar

A highly profitable bettor with a 91% win rate is adding nearly $2,000 to an existing Aguilar position at 78% in a relatively quiet market.

This bettor has won 31 of 34 resolved trades and earned $58,847 in profit.
They are adding nearly $2,000 to an existing Aguilar position, showing continued conviction at 78¢.
The trade is large relative to the detected $171 of recent activity, making the move notable despite the market’s 78% implied probability.

$1,574 on Aguilar | Wallet win rate: 77%

91% win-rate bettor adds to Aguilar

A highly profitable bettor with a 91% win rate is adding nearly $2,000 to an existing Aguilar position at 78% in a relatively quiet market.

This bettor has won 31 of 34 resolved trades and earned $58,847 in profit.
They are adding nearly $2,000 to an existing Aguilar position, showing continued conviction at 78¢.
The trade is large relative to the detected $171 of recent activity, making the move notable despite the market’s 78% implied probability.

$1,994 on Aguilar | Wallet win rate: 77%

New whale scaling into Aguilar

A three-day-old repeat bettor is adding $20,000 to an existing Aguilar position in an exceptionally thin market, with a small but profitable early track record.

This three-day-old wallet added $20,000 to Aguilar and has flagged $141,089 across four large-bet alerts.
The bettor is increasing an existing $31,802 Aguilar position, showing sustained conviction rather than a one-off trade.
The $20,000 order is more than 100 times the market's $171 24-hour volume, while the wallet is 2-for-2 on resolved bets.

$20,000 on Aguilar | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

0x9c76...c926 — Outcome 29075563, $5,000 (91% win rate)
0xc34b...9296 — Outcome 29075563, $2,500 (96% win rate)
0x5e30...acbf — Outcome 29075563, $2,224 (81% win rate)
0x9f15...bdb3 — Outcome 29075563, $2,018 (75% win rate)
0x7547...d158 — Outcome 29075563, $600
0xf6f7...c7a2 — Outcome 29075563, $318
0x4a3f...4333 — Outcome 29075563, $200 (97% win rate)
0x5f43...3a74 — Outcome 29075563, $120
0x5d1f...1e14 — Outcome 29075563, $96
0xeb76...7ffe — Outcome 29075563, $90

Related Theses

Rublev will beat Carreno Busta

Covers 1 related market

Set Handicap: Cilic (-1.5) vs Aguilar (+1.5)

ResolvedCincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic$23,568 tracked3 signalsGamesTennisSports

This market refers to the tennis match between Marin Cilic and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Cilic" if Marin Cilic wins by 2 or more sets than Daniel Merida Aguilar, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Aguilar." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Price History — “Cilic”

51¢

36¢

21¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction