National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen
6 signals across 2 markets · $27,577 tracked · resolves Aug 14, 2026
Follow the National Bank Open prediction market for Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen, with outcomes traded on which player advances. PolySpotter is tracking $5,475 in smart money and a recent signal showing a profitable bettor scaling Alex Michelsen. The match is scheduled for August 7, 2026, with resolution subject to the market’s settlement rules.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 95% winner backs Aguilar
A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate and 85-event track record made a fresh, oversized Aguilar bet in an extremely thin market.
$1,100Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 7.1 - Sharp bettor scaling into tennis
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 85% win rate and substantial proven edge added $9,200 to an existing tennis position amid a major volume surge and price rise.
$6,427Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 6.7 - Sharp bettor scaling into tennis
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 85% win rate and substantial proven edge added $9,200 to an existing tennis position amid a major volume surge and price rise.
$9,200Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 5.9 - Sharp bettor scaling into Michelsen
A proven 83% winner with a substantial edge added to an existing Alex Michelsen position amid a major price dislocation and unusual volume spike.
$3,809Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 5.3 - Serial trader amid massive volume spike
A highly experienced serial trader entered Daniel Merida Aguilar amid a 152x pre-event volume spike, though the position has since fallen from 60¢ to 52¢.
$1,567Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 4.0 - Profitable bettor scales Alex Michelsen
A profitable serial cross-market sports trader with a 69% win rate is adding $5,475 to an existing Alex Michelsen position in a relatively quiet market.
$5,475Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x0353aa…c2ff$15,627 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 82% wins
- 0x61952b…b9e3$5,475 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
- 0x461dd1…db9e$3,809 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0x5b6331…11a4$1,567 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
- 0xf12f76…b30f$1,100 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
FAQs
What are the Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen odds?
The latest Polymarket odds are shown on this event page and update as traders buy and sell positions on either player advancing.
What is the prediction market for this National Bank Open match?
The market covers the full match outcome: it resolves to Daniel Merida Aguilar if he advances or to Alex Michelsen if he advances, subject to the exchange’s settlement rules.
What is smart money doing in the Merida Aguilar vs Michelsen market?
PolySpotter tracks $5,475 in smart money across the event and has identified a recent alert in which a profitable bettor scaled Alex Michelsen.
When is the Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen match scheduled?
The match is scheduled for August 7, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET as part of the National Bank Open.
When does this Polymarket event resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by August 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM UTC, with the final outcome determined under the market’s stated rules.