Part of: National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen

National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Alex Michelsen in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 7, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Alex Michelsen. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $26,477.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor scaling into tennis

A highly profitable serial bettor with an 85% win rate and substantial proven edge added $9,200 to an existing tennis position amid a major volume surge and price rise.

This bettor has won 85% of 209 resolved positions and is up $463,429 lifetime.
They added $9,200 to Daniel Merida Aguilar at 46¢, despite already having $20,000 invested in the same outcome.
Trading volume was 64.6 times its historical average, while Daniel Merida Aguilar’s price climbed 27% in one day.

$6,427 on Daniel Merida Aguilar | Wallet win rate: 81%

Sharp bettor scaling into Michelsen

A proven 83% winner with a substantial edge added to an existing Alex Michelsen position amid a major price dislocation and unusual volume spike.

This bettor wins 83% of trades—43 of 52—with $43,340 in lifetime profit and a 26-point edge over average odds.
They added $3,809 at 41¢ to an existing $9,300 Alex Michelsen position, showing strong conviction despite the market now being 48¢.
The market saw a 152.7x historical volume spike and a sharp 30.5% price move, making the entry especially notable.

$3,809 on Alex Michelsen | Wallet win rate: 84%

Serial trader amid massive volume spike

A highly experienced serial trader entered Daniel Merida Aguilar amid a 152x pre-event volume spike, though the position has since fallen from 60¢ to 52¢.

This trader has 84,622 resolved bets, a 70% win rate, and is up $493,000 lifetime.
The market saw a 152x historical volume surge across just four trades, signaling unusually concentrated pre-event activity.
The entry is now marked down to 52¢ from 60¢, so the thesis has not yet been validated by price action.

$1,567 on Daniel Merida Aguilar | Wallet win rate: 71%

Sharp bettor scaling into tennis

A highly profitable serial bettor with an 85% win rate and substantial proven edge added $9,200 to an existing tennis position amid a major volume surge and price rise.

This bettor has won 85% of 209 resolved positions and is up $463,429 lifetime.
They added $9,200 to Daniel Merida Aguilar at 46¢, despite already having $20,000 invested in the same outcome.
Trading volume was 64.6 times its historical average, while Daniel Merida Aguilar’s price climbed 27% in one day.

$9,200 on Daniel Merida Aguilar | Wallet win rate: 81%

Profitable bettor scales Alex Michelsen

A profitable serial cross-market sports trader with a 69% win rate is adding $5,475 to an existing Alex Michelsen position in a relatively quiet market.

This bettor has won 69% of 204 resolved trades and is up $103,598 lifetime.
They added $5,475 to an existing Alex Michelsen position at 73¢, signaling increased conviction.
The trade was over five times the detected 24-hour market volume, making it a meaningful directional bet.

$5,475 on Alex Michelsen | Wallet win rate: 73%