Madrid Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Corentin Moutet
6 signals across 1 market · $49,139 tracked · resolves May 2, 2026
This Madrid Open prediction market covers Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Corentin Moutet, with traders pricing which player will advance. PolySpotter is tracking $49,139 in smart money across 6 signals, including a 3-wallet tennis surge, a 5-wallet sports pile-in, and sharp-wallet activity fading the move.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 3-wallet tennis surge
Three wallets piled into Daniel Merida Aguilar during a sharp 25-point move, including one repeat new wallet and one bettor with an 88% win rate, making this coordinated flow worth watching despite the market already repricing higher.
$7,976Score: 18.1 - Madrid Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Corentin Moutet
LLM evaluation failed — kept for manual review.
$9,389Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 13.7 - New wallet in 4-wallet cluster
A very new wallet with repeated large betting activity joined a 4-wallet coordinated buy cluster on Corentin Moutet during a major pre-match volume spike, suggesting conviction worth monitoring despite limited track record.
$1,294Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 10.8 - 5-wallet sports pile-in
Five wallets piled into Corentin Moutet for $17.3k during a 21.8x volume spike, including one very strong long-term winner with $6.4M profit, making this coordinated sports flow worth surfacing despite mixed wallet quality.
$17,326Score: 10.7 - New sharp wallet fading surge
A profitable new wallet with an 88% win rate made a sizable sell that converts to buying Corentin Moutet at 52¢, aligning with a 3-wallet one-sided cluster despite the market moving sharply against that side.
$5,675Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 10.6 - Hot new wallet buys early
A repeat new wallet with an early 88% hit rate made a sizable fresh bet on Daniel Merida Aguilar before a sharp move from 50-55¢ to 68¢, suggesting strong directional conviction worth tracking.
$7,480Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 5.3
Top wallets in this event
- 0xf38dd2…18ce$22,543 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 88% wins
- 0xbd2dd7…0344$1,294 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Corentin Moutet?
The live Polymarket odds reflect the market-implied chance that either Daniel Merida Aguilar or Corentin Moutet advances in their Madrid Open match. Check the event hub for current pricing, recent movement, and trading activity.
What is the smart money doing on Merida Aguilar vs Moutet?
PolySpotter has tracked $49,139 in smart money across 6 signals for this match. Recent alerts include a 3-wallet tennis surge, a 5-wallet sports pile-in, and a new sharp wallet fading the surge, suggesting active disagreement among sophisticated bettors.
Why are sharp wallets important for this Madrid Open market?
Sharp wallets are traders with notable prediction-market activity or strong historical signals. When multiple wallets pile into the same tennis outcome—or when a sharp wallet fades that move—it can help explain why odds are shifting.
When does the Merida Aguilar vs Moutet market resolve?
The market is scheduled around the April 25, 2026 Madrid Open match and resolves based on which player advances. The listed resolution deadline is May 2, 2026, with cancellation or major delay rules applying if the match is not played as expected.