Roland Garros ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Ben Shelton
19 signals across 4 markets · $535,792 tracked · resolves May 31, 2026
Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Ben Shelton is a Roland Garros ATP prediction market on which player advances from their match. PolySpotter tracks the live Polymarket odds plus smart money activity, including a recent signal from a 91% win-rate sharp and $4,975 in tracked smart money across the event.

Markets (4)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp cluster backs favorite
Surface: four wallets put $63.5k on Ben Shelton, led by highly profitable bettors including a 22-0 wallet and an 82% winner up $5.9M.
$63,477Score: 16.0 - 82% winner buys $104k
Sharp sports bettor with an 82% resolved win rate and +$5.9M P&L placed a $104k Ben Shelton position amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$104,135Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 11.2 - 85% sports sharp buys favorite
A highly experienced cross-market sports bettor with an 85% win rate bought $8.5k of Ben Shelton during a major pre-match volume spike.
$8,526Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 8.0 - 85% win-rate sports regular
A highly experienced cross-market sports bettor with an 85% resolved win rate bought $8.3k of Ben Shelton amid a major pre-match volume spike.
$8,303Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 7.9 - Profitable serial sports bettor
A profitable serial sports trader bought Ben Shelton amid a large pre-match volume surge, creating a credible momentum signal despite the market being fairly liquid.
$4,300Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 6.9 - Profitable whale backs favorite
A highly profitable, high-volume sports bettor put $246K on Ben Shelton amid a major pre-event volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade signal.
$246,325Wallet win rate: 58%Score: 6.6 - 91% win-rate sports sharp
Sharp sports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate and +$287K P&L bought $4.3K of Ben Shelton at 78¢.
$4,257Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 6.0 - Serial sports trader joins surge
Serial cross-market bettor with a large profitable history bought Ben Shelton during an unusually large pre-match volume surge.
$1,655Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 6.0 - 22-0 sharp exits favorite
A 22-0 profitable wallet exited Ben Shelton amid a major pre-event volume spike, which is notable but less clean because it appears to be closing an existing position rather than opening a fresh one.
$14,399Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 5.9 - Serial sports bettor in thin market
Serial cross-market sports bettor with an 81% hit rate placed a market-moving Shelton handicap bet in a very thin order book, though lifetime P&L is slightly negative.
$2,041Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 5.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x2c3350…0563$246,325 · 1 market · 1 alert · 58% wins
- 0xbee54d…a636$104,135 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
- 0xc3acf5…b964$41,380 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
- 0x49007e…4a72$16,829 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 85% wins
- 0x8bfee7…2d74$14,399 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0xa9c4b1…7433$12,023 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
- 0x979fc1…4032$9,231 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 95% wins
- 0x84cb17…28ad$6,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0x9dfed1…a5d6$4,300 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
- 0xd27cc7…c081$3,849 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 80% wins
FAQs
What are the Merida Aguilar vs Ben Shelton odds on Polymarket?
The Polymarket odds reflect the market-implied probability that either Daniel Merida Aguilar or Ben Shelton advances. PolySpotter tracks those odds alongside smart money activity so you can see how the market is moving.
Who is smart money betting on in Merida Aguilar vs Ben Shelton?
PolySpotter has tracked $4,975 in smart money activity across this event, including a recent alert from a 91% win-rate sharp. Check the event page for the latest side, size, and timing of the signal.
What does this Roland Garros ATP market resolve on?
The market resolves to the player who advances from the match: Daniel Merida Aguilar or Ben Shelton. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market rules, resolution follows Polymarket’s stated terms.
When does the Merida Aguilar vs Ben Shelton market resolve?
The match was originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET, and the event is listed to resolve by May 31, 2026 at 09:00 UTC, subject to the official match result and market rules.