Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Ben Shelton

Aguilar vs. Shelton: Match O/U 38.5

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,923.

Notable Trades

99% winner buying Over

Despite a weak low-activity signal, this is worth surfacing because the buyer has an exceptional 418-6 resolved record and $6.0M lifetime profit.

This bettor has won 418 of 424 resolved bets and is up about $6.0M lifetime.
They put $6,500 on Over, a large chunk of the market’s recent trading volume.
Entry at 51¢ suggests they see value despite the market now sitting around 48¢.

$6,500 on Over | Wallet win rate: 99%

77% winner buying Over

Sharp-wallet override: a highly profitable 77% win-rate bettor bought Over despite the alert only having a weak low-activity signal.

This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $115K lifetime.
They put $3.4K on Over, a meaningful size in a market with only $8.5K traded today.
Entry at 52¢ implies they see Over as slightly mispriced despite the current market sitting near 49¢.

$3,423 on Over | Wallet win rate: 80%

Top Holders

0x84cb...28ad — Outcome 14658268, $12,773 (99% win rate)
0xbbf3...aa3a — Outcome 14658268, $6,596 (80% win rate)
0x64ae...ead9 — Outcome 14658268, $201 (89% win rate)
0x4f51...43de — Outcome 14658268, $20
0x29a5...a3c4 — Outcome 14658268, $10
0x657c...66a3 — Outcome 14658268, $5

Related Theses

Tabilo wins in straight sets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 3 related markets

Aguilar vs. Shelton: Match O/U 38.5

ResolvedRoland Garros ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Ben Shelton$9,923 tracked2 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Ben Shelton in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 39. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam statistics.

Notable Trades